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2024-12-13 05:44:27

CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.The U.S. military said that two U.S. navy destroyers successfully intercepted weapons fired by Houthi forces during their voyage in the Gulf of Aden.Since December, overseas institutions have investigated 28 listed companies, focusing on three major industries. According to statistics, 32 overseas institutions have investigated 28 listed companies in the past seven trading days since December. Among them, Lubomai Fund has the largest number of research companies, and has investigated 3 listed companies, including Steady Medical, Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank and Weike Technology. In addition, four overseas institutions, including Manulife Finance, Boyu Capital and Leiya Investment, respectively investigated two listed companies. In terms of industries, overseas institutions mainly favor automobile, computer and mechanical equipment, with four research companies each, followed by electronics, food and beverage, medicine and biology, with two listed companies each being investigated by overseas institutions. According to statistics, Huichuan Technology, Desai Siwei, Hanzhong Seiki and Angang are the most concerned by overseas institutions, with 30, 8, 7 and 7 researchers respectively. According to the research activities, overseas institutions are mainly concerned about the competitive advantages of listed companies, the progress of internationalization, and the situation of reducing costs and increasing efficiency. (Securities Times)


Trump said that he chose Andrew Feargus, Commissioner of the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC), as the FTC chairman.EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.


Nearly half of the listed securities firms announced the roadmap of improving quality and increasing efficiency. Recently, Capital Securities and two listed securities firms in central china securities successively disclosed the action plan of "improving quality, increasing efficiency and paying more attention to returns" in 2024, and disclosed the company's next plan from many aspects, such as strengthening functional positioning, improving operating quality and enhancing investors' returns. Since Founder Securities announced the action plan of "improving quality, increasing efficiency and paying more attention to returns" in 2024 in April this year, by the time of china securities journal's press release on December 10th, there were 20 A-share listed brokers who announced relevant announcements and carried out relevant actions, accounting for nearly half. Combing the schemes disclosed by brokers, it is found that, while actively responding to the development of financial services to the real economy and new quality productivity, in the face of the competitive environment where industry concentration is expected to be further enhanced and the "Matthew effect" is further intensified, brokers with different characteristics and sizes have also combined their own endowments in their action plans to disclose future differentiated competitive ideas. (CSI)Non-performing loan intermediaries have drawn a clear line between banks to prevent "endorsement". Recently, many banks have issued statements to "clear the relationship" with loan intermediaries. On December 9 alone, many banks, such as Taiyuan Rural Commercial Bank, Chifeng Yuanbaoshan Rural Commercial Bank and Xintian Rural Bank of Xinjiang County, issued statements that they had not cooperated with any intermediary in loan business. The insiders believe that at present, when banks are preparing for a "good start" in the coming year, some banks' grass-roots institutions or account managers privately increase cooperation with loan intermediaries in order to achieve performance indicators. Formal loan intermediaries help banks get customers and live customers, but non-performing loan intermediaries are mixed in the market, and their non-compliance practices make consumer complaints frequent and bring reputation risks to banks. (CSI)Market information: Trump's nominee for US Treasury Secretary Bessent supports Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to complete his entire term.

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